{"product_id":"superforecasting-9780804136693","title":"Superforecasting","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eSuperforecasting.\u003c\/strong\u003e The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people--including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer--who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They've beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They've even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are \"superforecasters.\" In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden's compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn't require powerful computers or arcane methods.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003ctable width=\"100%\"\u003e\u003ctbody\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 24%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eForfattere:\u003c\/strong\u003e Philip Eyrikson Tetlock, Dan Gardner\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 21%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eUtgave:\u003c\/strong\u003e ukjent\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 24%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eSpråk:\u003c\/strong\u003e Engelsk\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 21%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eSidetall:\u003c\/strong\u003e 0\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 24%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eISBN:\u003c\/strong\u003e 9780804136693\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 21%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eVekt:\u003c\/strong\u003e 970 g\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 24%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eForlag:\u003c\/strong\u003e \u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 21%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eInnbinding:\u003c\/strong\u003e \u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 24%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eUtgitt:\u003c\/strong\u003e 2015\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 21%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eVeil. pris:\u003c\/strong\u003e 0 kr\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 24%;\"\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eKategori:\u003c\/strong\u003e Business \u0026amp; Economics\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd style=\"width: 21%;\"\u003e\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003c\/tbody\u003e\u003c\/table\u003e","brand":"Bokia.no","offers":[{"title":"Pent brukt bok","offer_id":42533150818386,"sku":"158132-4","price":220.0,"currency_code":"NOK","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/2064\/2115\/files\/superforecasting_158132.jpg?v=1785703251","url":"https:\/\/bokia.no\/products\/superforecasting-9780804136693","provider":"Bokia.no","version":"1.0","type":"link"}